ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS IN THE

EPIDEMIOLOGY OF CANCER
 

Martin Rusnak, MD, PhD

Assoc. Prof. of Public Health, Trnava University

Environmental Health Project

ASIH


CONTENTS
 

REALISTIC GOALS FOR REDUCING CANCER MORTALITY
W.C. Willett, G.A. Colditz, N.E. Mueller: Causes and Prevention: Strategies for Minimizing Cancer Risk. Scientific American, 1998

Women's Probability of Acquiring Cancer by Age 75
Men's Probability of Acquiring Cancer by Age 75


RISK
Estimates of comparative risks to individuals
by Moeller, D.W.: Environmental Health, revised edition. Harvard University Press, 1997, 480 pp.
Hazard Probabilistic risk estimate Degree of uncertainty
Death before age 85, all causes 0.7 Low
Death from cancer, lifetime risk 0.25 Low
Death from cigarette smoking, one pack per day for 40 years 0.13 Medium
Death from occupational exposure to benzene, 10 ppm concentration, for 30 years 0.05 Medium-High
Death from motor vehicle crash, lifetime risk 0.02 Low
Death from drinking water with EPA limit of chloroform, lifetime risk <0.0005 High
Death from inhaling formaldehyde in urban air, 5 ppb concentration, lifetime risk <0.000008 High
Estimates of comparative risks to populations
by Moeller, D.W.: Environmental Health, revised edition. Harvard University Press, 1997, 480 pp.
Hazard Annual total deaths in U.S. Degree of uncertainty
Cigarette smoking 300,000 Low
Alcohol abuse 150,000 Low
Highway travel 45,000 Low
Homicide 20,000 Low
Indoor air toxins 6,000 Medium
Outdoor air toxins 3,000 High
Pesticide residues in foods 3,000 High
Airline travel 1,000 Low

 
Proportion of cancer deaths attributable to various factors, England and Wales, 1995
% of all cancer deaths
Agent or class of agents Best estimate Range of estimates
Diet 35 20-60
Tobacco 31 29-33
Natural hormones 15 10-20
Infections 10 5-15
Electromagnetic radiation 8 5-10
Alcoholic beverages 5 3-7
Environmental pollution 2 <1-4
Medicines and medical procedures 1 0.5-2
Industrial products <1 <1-4
Other ? ?



Dose - response curves for cancer and noncancer agents


Public concern about environmental carcinogens is out of proportion with the true risk according to: Harvard Report on Cancer Prevention. Volume 1:Causes of Human Cancer. In: Cancer Cause & Control, vol.7, suppl., 1996, pp.555-558


CASE STUDIES

Ionizing Radiation and Cancer



CASE STUDY

Electric and Magnetic Fields and Leukemia



CASE STUDY

Indoor Radon and Lung Cancer


Average annual effective dose of ionizing radiation to the US public (exclusive of contribution from cigarettes)
Annual Dose
Source mSv mrem
Natural sources
Radon
Cosmic, terrestrial, internal

2.0 
1.0

200 
100
Medical
X-ray diagnosis
Nuclear medicine

0.39
0.14

39
14
Consumer products 0.10 -10
Occupational -0.01 -1
Nuclear fuel cycle <0.001 <0.1
TOTAL 3.6 360



Cancer is a preventable illness